New Muddled Ages plus1

Our politicians can huff and puff, all they like, but they are never going to sort out the problems around the world, when they can’t resolve the problems in our own country. Indeed they don’t know the boundaries of our country. Is it just England, or does it include Wales and Scotland. And as for Northern Ireland, who knows? Oh and do we have borders anyway? Quite a political conundrum.

Now we have that sorted out 🤡 let’s look at the pressing issues that need to be solved at home:-

  • INFLATION – supposedly down to 2%, but it doesn’t feel like it – product sizes shrinking; special offers fiddling; cash disappearing and breaking the link with reality.
  • ENERGY – closely tied to rising costs and the knee- jerk response to climate change. We have shut down our coal mines; plan to outlaw gas boilers and frown on nuclear power. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot ☹️
  • WATER – privatise the water companies give money to foreign shareholders and pollute the rivers and the sea. What a good idea that was !
  • CRIME – what’s a crime these days? Stealing from shops doesn’t seem to be. Taking drugs is now recreation. Scams abound around every corner. Trust is yesterday’s way of life, now it is for the unsuspecting next victim.
  • IMMIGRATION – used to be a welcoming harbour for the refugees of war and famine; now it is a white cliff to be scaled by anyone wanting a new life. Rubber boats and a £7,000 bounty are the rights of passage.
  • CLIMATE CHANGE – a world of misinformation and uncertainty. A signpost for “ Just stopping oil”; or closing coal mines; or turning off the gas tap. Or the complete opposite if you live in China.
  • NHS WAITING LISTS – growing ever- longer requiring more and more money for less and less of a health service. Free, if you can ever reach the end of the queue.
  • HOUSING – not enough; too expensive; out of reach of young people; under-occupied by older people; under insulated; over clad with high risk material; empty second homes; nowhere near enough new homes being built. A catalogue of neglect !

There is more, but that’s more than enough to be going on with 🤡

In the past a Great Depression or a war would galvanise a nation into action on this scale of problems, but far better if we have a quiet revolution.

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The New Muddled Ages.

We are in the Post Covid Era. Where almost everyone has LongCovid and their brains are all addled. So this is a new series of blogs, which will try to see where and how the Era might end, although with most eras, it could go on for a very long time.

These blogs are just jumbled thoughts, which reflect our jumbled times. Now frequently expressed by our jumbled politicians of all parties. Some of them jumping off piers into the sea to catch attention. Others stumbling and mumbling about sausages in these most serious of times. The rest are busy falling out with each other and the confused electorate.

When you look abroad the PostCovid effects are even worse, with wars breaking out around the world. And in the USA they have resorted to shooting each other.

The Last Laugh Looney Party is being copied globally 🤡

The muddle started with the lock downs. People lost touch with reality and each other. They got on their computers and disappeared into a new world of conspiracy and misinformation.

Falling out with each other became the new norm. Trust went out of the window. Not working from home was a lot more fun than working. Especially if the Government was paying for this new found luxury. No school was better than school “we don’t need no education”. Strikes stopped because no one was working. Blissful head in the sand times🤡

ONE DAY WE WILL ALL HAVE TO WAKE UP !

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Politicians are becoming Chatbots.

Our politicians are learning from the CHATBOT Communication Handbook :—-

  • “Let me be clear”. Which means the very opposite!
  • “We inherited a £22 billion black hole”
  • “It’s all the fault of the last Government..”
  • “We did not want to take these tough measures”
  • “We are taking the decision to stabilise the economy”
  • “It may have to get worse before it gets better”
  • “We have to overcome 14 years of incompetence ”
  • “Everything is fully considered and fully costed”
  • “I am not going to pre-empt the budget”
  • “We have no plans to ……..”
  • “We have a plan for growth”

They don’t answer the question they are asked. They just trot out the party approved answer of the day.

Often supported by t-i-m-e s—t—r—e—e—t—c—h—i—n—g a—n—s—w—e—r—s….

Prime Minister’s question time every Wednesday in the House of Commons is a vacuous game of ping pong. Scripted questions and rehearsed fact free answers.

Robotic questions with meaningless robotic answers from increasingly ROBOTIC CHATBOT POLITICIANS.

Posted in GRUMBLES | 8 Comments

Winter Fuel Payments?

This last week has been dominated by Prime Minister Stammer’s decision to scrap winter fuel payments for older people, except for those on pension credit.

It has been the subject of ill-informed debate and rank hypocrisy. Plus large measures of pontificating and abject cowardice. Only a very few come out of this saga with any decency.

Who could deny that this benefit is not needed by millionaires, nor perhaps by those who have retired to sunnier climes? But they are only a tiny fraction of the 12.6 million elderly people who receive this universal benefit.

Introducing this cut is supposedly to begin to address the £23 billion black hole in Government expenditure. The £1.4 billion forecast to be saved will only make a small dent in the shortfall. But I suppose you have to start somewhere, so why not with old people who probably didn’t vote for you anyway.

And after all Mr Stammer is protecting the very poorest by keeping the payments for those on pension credit. Although sadly many people don’t claim it — 800,000 in fact. However,g strenuous efforts will be made to improve the take up. It’s only 250 odd questions to answer. What’s difficult about that when you’re 80 years old?

There is another problem, however; neither Mr. Stammer nor his Chancellor, Retched Rivet are very good at arithmetic.

If their heartfelt aspiration for all 800,000 pensioners to claim the benefit they are entitled to were all claimed, it would cost an extra £3.8 billion. This far exceeds the saving and makes the black hole bigger.

An alternative more clinical possibility is that they can add up correctly and the have calculated that most people still won’t take up the benefit and a few thousand extra deaths will probably occur each year, but that is a small price to pay.

This new age-friendly protector of the vulnerable can always bury them in the BLACK HOLE.

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My New Best Friend.

My new best friend is a CHATBOT. He/ she/ it doesn’t have a name, just a number – 0800 123456 ( name changed to protect the innocent). He/she/it works for NS&I. Who used to be called “ EARNIE”.

EARNIE only gave out good news — when you won a premium bond😀

That’s how I got to meet 0800 123456.

The story started when I received two letters in the post today, both from National Savings. The first one told me I had won £50 on the premium bonds and then even better, the second one announced I had won another £100😊😊

What’s not to like about that?

Well it wasn’t in the usual NS&I green envelope with a cheque inside. Instead it told me to send them my bank details. I was immediately suspicious — was it a scam? You can’t be too careful these days and that took away some of my jubilation about winning £150☹️

So I telephoned the NS&I advice line on 0800 173173. Only to be told the number was “no longer available “.

£150 is not to be sniffed at, so I persisted and found another number — 080 123456 — that’s my new best friend 😀. He/she/it is NS&I’s new improved automatic advice line. He/she/it answers questions in a monotone voice and not necessarily the question you asked, but the question you should have asked. Difficult questions like “ is this a scam ?”, don’t get answered at all.

So here I am, none the wiser and none the richer☹️

Maybe it has something to do with NS&I wanting all premium bond holders to move to internet banking, rather than having to post you cheques.

Posted in GRUMBLES | 2 Comments

Ageing in Retirement Villages— 5

A Retirement Village is a complex operation of housing and care. To function well they need to be fully integrated with the wider community and fully understood by statutory services. They are also most effective when fully interwoven with local GP’s and the NHS.

The devil is in the detail. Each piece of the jigsaw matters. For the village model to be complete and operating at its best, all the pieces need to be in place.

So let’s look at some of the small but key steps in the operation :-

  • WELCOME & INTRODUCTION. —- long before a new village is opened “friends groups” are established to explain all aspects of the lifestyle on offer and the opportunities to live an active life. Ambassadors from other villages are by far the best at explaining this. After a village has opened this welcome still needs to be made available to new arrivals and a friends club needs to continue to support prospective applicants on the waiting list for vacancies.
  • RECEPTION DESK — on arrival visitors to the village you are greeted by resident volunteers which immediately signals the important role residents play in managing the village.
  • VOLUNTEERS — the shop, the coffee bar, the drinks bar and several other functions are all run with the help of residents. Also the majority of the activities are totally organised and lead by residents with control over activity budgets.
  • OPEN COMMUNICATION — is essential in a village of several hundred residents, otherwise gossip and misinformation fills the void. Monthly manager meetings open to all residents; smaller street meetings; newsletters and a suggestion scheme are key components. Open doors, the village manager walking the floor and regular directors visits are also important. So too is an elected Residents Association.
  • TECHNOLOGY — has the power to collect and analyse data on the operation of the village. It can also facilitate research and future development of the village model. However it is not a substitute for face to face communication.

IT REQUIRES ALL THESE ASPECTS OF THE RETIREMENT VILLAGE TO BE WORKING IN HARMONY AS ONE BIG TEAM OF RESIDENTS AND STAFF FOR THE VILLAGE TO PROSPER AND REFRESH ITSELF AS NEW CHALLENGES ARISE.

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Ageing in Retirement Villages – 4

My last three blogs have looked at the origins of ExtraCare’s Retirement Villages; the development rationale; and the model for care and support. The immediate question then posed was is this financially viable as the community ages. The simplistic answer is yes if residents pay for it themselves by trading equity in their property for care and support.

However, it is worth stepping back and looking at the bigger picture first. The model is intended to be an integration of four key elements :- ACTIVITY; HEALTH; SUPPORT; FINANCE. All need to be at play for the model to work well.

Let’s examine each one in turn :-

  • ACTIVITY – the wide range of facilities available in a village is designed to encourage residents to live an active lifestyle. It draws on the skills of residents to participate in the running of the village and to socialise with other residents. Volunteering and taking an active part in managing the village, can give people a continued sense of worth and achievement. Way beyond the wrap around lifestyle of residential care.
  • HEALTH – this starts with a proactive approach to wellbeing. Regular health checks and medication reviews with a well-being nurse and if required liaison with GP’s. Promotion of exercise linked to the fitness coaches. Healthy eating advice to combat obesity.
  • SUPPORT – not everybody who moves into a village needs support and some will never need it. The lowest level maybe help with house cleaning. Next is assistance with care. For a few they may require nursing care. This could be paid for by Social Services or occasionally the NHS, but resources are increasingly limited. To access services more themselves residents will probably have to pay for it themselves. Hence the need to trade equity for care.
  • FINANCE – waiting on Governments to adequately fund social care has been a decades long issue. Because they had not anticipated increased longevity nor significantly increased morbidity. Politically it has now become to difficult to resolve, so the only answer is for the vast majority of older people to accept they have to provide for themselves. The health insurance industry has exited this market because of the difficulty of predicting long term care costs.

If Retirement Housing operators truly believe their lifestyle model prolongs healthier active lives, then they should be confident enough to provide a model of funding for long term care and support. With the caveat that they may need stop/loss insurance to cover extreme risk.

THERE IS STILL MORE TO COMPLETE THE FINAL PICTURE.

See my next post.

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Ageing in Retirement Villages – 3

This is a follow on from my two previous blogs.

The key issue is “Who pays ?”

The starting point is to acknowledge that later life can be expensive, especially if you need care and support.

The second thing is that living longer is a great blessing, but we, none of us has saved enough to cover the cost. Nor has the Government.

The NHS ideal of health care being free for all is an illusion which is becoming more and more obvious and elderly people are at the back of the queue. Social care has also been starved of Government funds for years. Leading to bed blocking in hospitals. It has been a familiar story for years.

Politicians are paralysed to take action for fear of upsetting elderly voters.

At the same time elderly people don’t want to hear that they will have to pay for themselves.

STALEMATE.

There is however a trillion £ pot of gold tied up in homeowners property which they accumulated through house price inflation, rather than hard work.

So the KEY to the future of ageing retirement communities is to unlock home owners housing equity and trade it for care and support.

However that is not a simple answer.

Current equity release schemes could facilitate this approach, but, they are expensive and only release maybe a third of the value of your home. Nor would they work easily in a retirement village where the lease is tied to service charges and restricts resale options.

Village landlords could offer a reverse staircasing model of ownership which would allow residents to sell back shares in their homes for care and support. Rent could be charged on the share of the property not owned, which would offset some of the cost of raising finance for the buyback.

This would be a start, but it doesn’t explore the full picture.

My next blog will attempt to do this.

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Ageing in Retirement Villages – 2

This is a continuation of my previous post, which looked back to our earliest thinking about extra care housing at Princethorpe Court, which opened its doors in 1986. That then was later followed by a much larger scheme which embodied the same ideas but was called Berryhill Village. It opened in 1998, with 148 flats and a wider range of communal facilities.

ExtraCare Charitable Trust was set up in 1987/88 to provide for frailer residents who were languishing in hospitals unable to be looked after in their own homes and too frail to move to Residential care homes. A situation which continues to this day! In conjunction with Coventry Health Authority we started to develop Nursing Homes. This is a whole separate story, but its relevance is that it gave us a much better understanding of the support needed by some elderly people in later life, especially dementia. This had a significant influence on our later development and staffing of Retirement Villages .

In the next eight years, we went on to develop and manage more ExtraCare schemes with Coventry Churches Housing Association ( later called Touchstone ) and also to open more nursing homes in Coventry and elsewhere with other Health Authority’s.

But the breakthrough into Retirement Villages came after the opening of Berryhill. Initially with an aborted village project at Abbey Park in Coventry and then with a bigger project ( 243 flats) at Ryefields in Warrington. This was an all singing, all dancing housing for sale and for rent with a full range of care and support and a comprehensive package of communal facilities.

It began a whole new generation of villages which explored the key features of ACTIVITY, HEALTH, SUPPORT and FINANCE.

You can find the thinking behind these issues by clicking on “ Community Retirement Villages “ in the TAG cloud.

ExtraCare Charitable Trust has gone on to develop many villages using this approach. Elements of the model have been copied in the private retirement field, but to a much more upmarket sector. Sadly the public sector has largely given up on this type of provision because of the lack of grant funding.

All of which underlines the importance of answering the question:-

“Is the model of Retirement Village developed at Lovat Fields sustainable financially, if the average of the residents continues to increase ( to90 )?”

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Ageing in Community Retirement Villages

Last week my regular correspondent to this blog posed a challenging question about the future of retirement villages. David Freeman and his wife Molly have been residents of the ExtraCare retirement village at Lovat Fields in Milton Keynes since it opened in 2007.

Over the next few weeks we will try to answer/explore the question:-

“Is the model of retirement village developed at Lovat Fields sustainable financially, if the average age of the residents continues to increase ( to 90 ) ?.”

It’s worth taking a step back to see how the thinking of extra care first emerged nearly 40 years ago. The early ideas were a move beyond sheltered housing to include care support, but crucially they stopped short of the social services model of Old People’s Homes and the private sector’s residential care homes.

Our thoughts were first brought together in 1986 with the opening by Coventry Churches Housing Association of Princethorpe Court in Coventry.

(I wrote a series of blogs in 2012 about the project which you can find by clicking on “ Princethorpe Court Story” in the TAG cloud.)

Many of the building design ideas were born in this scheme and equally importantly the first care and support ideas were established.

In my next blog I will look at the step up to Retirement Villages.

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